Photo courtesy of Henderson. Henderson - Zero to hero – recasting Europe
For much of the last few years Europe has been viewed warily by investors as the sovereign debt crisis and a mixed economic picture have weighed on sentiment. In fact, it has become something of a badge of honour to avoid the continent. Crises, however, have a habit of encouraging transformative change and Europe is gradually reshaping itself.
The end of 2012 was interesting because for the first time in three years Europe avoided the spotlight. Instead, it was the turn of the US to be in the public glare as politicians frantically scrabbled to secure a deal that prevented the US economy falling off the so-called ‘fiscal cliff’. In echoes of earlier eurozone debates only a partial solution was agreed, with the budget decisions and debt ceiling talks delayed to the end of February.
For Europeans looking across the Atlantic they might be forgiven a wry smile and a sense of déjà vu. After all, whilst the US is only starting to face up to its structural problems, Europe has already been having these debates – in public – for the better part of three years.
Structural reform is underway
For all its faults, the straitjacket of the euro forced issues to a head, most notably the need for structural reforms. For countries such as Ireland and Greece, therefore, austerity programmes are well advanced. A cursory glance at the bond markets highlights this. Only two years ago Ireland was a pariah nation but now it is able to borrow in the open market at rates only a few percentage points above Germany, whilst its banking sector is fast rehabilitating.
It might seem Machiavellian but European companies, particularly the more globally-facing multinationals, have used the crisis in Europe to their advantage. One of the French electronics firms that we hold confessed to us that in ordinary circumstances they would never have been able to drive through the restructuring and plant consolidation they wanted to do were it not for the crisis dissuading politicians from blocking reforms. The result: European companies have been able to get fit quickly, focusing their operations on their more profitable businesses and culling the underperforming areas.
The carousel of eurozone crisis summits and market volatility was draining, but it led to incremental improvements and engendered greater political consensus. This was evidenced in the summer of 2012 when the eurozone was priced for an existential crisis. Politicians were spurred into action and the pragmatic approach taken by Mario Draghi, the European Central Bank president, particularly his pledge to preserve the euro helped to deter some of the more destabilising speculation, allowing markets to focus more on fundamentals and valuations.
Eurozone aggregate numbers attractive
As the hysteria surrounding a possible break-up of the eurozone faded, commentators have begun to look more objectively at the region. Europe combines net goods exporting countries such as Germany with net importers such as Spain. At the consolidated level, therefore, the eurozone is broadly in trade balance, unlike the US which runs a constant trade deficit or Japan which is reliant on exports. Similarly, the media has focused on the fiscal sinners but many European countries have their spending house in order and have relatively low levels of national debt. At the aggregate level, therefore, Eurozone net government borrowing in 2012 as a percentage of gross domestic product is forecast to come in at 3.3%, well below the 8.7% level of the US and 10.0% level of Japan.
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, 2012 estimates, October 2012
When presented with such facts, it becomes far easier to comprehend why European equity markets performed well in the second half of 2012. The FTSE World Europe ex UK Total Return Index rose 15.3% in sterling terms in the final half of 2012, outperforming the equity markets of the UK, Japan and the US.
That said, I tend to become wary when a market does well, as it is more vulnerable to a correction or profit-taking. Neither of these should be ruled out over the coming months, particularly as global economic concerns and political hurdles, such as the Italian elections, are never far away, but for investors with a meaningful investment time horizon, Europe remains attractive. It is a region replete with quality cash-generative companies, many of which are household names with a global footprint, such as Adidas, the sportswear company, Roche, the pharmaceutical, Nestle, the food group, and BMW, the car manufacturer.
Whilst it might be argued that the better quality companies in Europe have already enjoyed something of a re-rating, they are generally still inexpensive relative to their peers in other regions. What is more, whole swathes of Europe have largely been shunned by investors. This is why we are tentatively identifying opportunities in peripheral areas of Europe such as Spanish domestic banks, encouraged by low valuations and a regulatory environment that is becoming less onerous.
Europe is beginning to emerge from the shadow of the crisis. For those investors who are prepared to look more deeply, they will discover a region that may be building towards a starring role in an investment portfolio.
. Davos Financial Group Received International Recognition as “Best Offshore Corporate Service Provider”
Demonstrating strong leadership, commitment to excellence and innovation in the complex economic conditions of the markets it operates in, Davos Financial Group was awarded the “Best Offshore Corporate Services Provider – Switzerland 2012.”
“Certainly, operating in different countries not only positions us as an international financial advisory firm, but additionally allows us to provide our customers access to a wide variety of platforms and investment instruments available in the financial market today”
The New Europe Industry Awards, presented last December, aim to emphasize those organizations that achieved the highest standards in what are the most competitive sectors of their industry. By acknowledging the current pioneers they expect to offer valuable resources for the senior management, thereby ensuring that as new challenges arise, those who offer solutions are always close by. Among the companies recognized worldwide is Credit Suisse.
In that regard, David Osio, CEO of Davos Financial Group, said: “We strive daily to offer our clients and partners the highest standards in service, maintaining a strict control in the operations of Davos Financial Group’s affiliated companies, as well as the enforcement of regulations in the markets where they operate.”
This recognition has been achieved because Davos Financial Group has positioned and established itself as an excellent international consulting firm that seeks to provide its customers access to a wide variety of platforms and investment instruments present in the current financial market. This has been possible through the implementation and strict adherence to rules and regulations.
With offices in Geneva, New York, Miami, Panama City and St John’s, the companies that are part of Davos Financial Group have been working since 1993 to provide the most robust and innovative financial advisory, with the benefit of globalized presence.
“Certainly, operating in different countries not only positions us as an international financial advisory firm, but additionally allows us to provide our customers access to a wide variety of platforms and investment instruments available in the financial market today,” said David Osio.
Northern Trust announced today it has been appointed by Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s largest global hedge fund managers, to independently replicate certain middle and back-office services for its approximately $140 billion in assets under management, as part of Bridgewater’s ongoing back office transformation plan.
In a role that will create approximately 100 jobs in Chicago and Stamford, Conn., Northern Trust will provide broad middle-office and back-office services including replicating various administrative processing, trade processing, valuation, real-time reporting, cash management, accounting and collateral management services.
These services will be furnished by Northern Trust independently, as well as mirroring and quality checking middle and back-office services provided by another firm. Northern Trust’s independent review and validation of results will provide Bridgewater Associates and its investors an enhanced level of oversight and controls with respect to fund administration and middle and back-office functions. The arrangement is planned to go live in 2014.
Since Northern Trust acquired hedge fund administrator Omnium from Citadel in July of 2011, the marketplace has delivered a strong response to the combination of Northern Trust’s trusted name and global scale along with industry-leading, technology-driven hedge fund administration services designed to support high volume and highly complex investment strategies.
Bridgewater Associates is a global leader in institutional portfolio management with approximately US$140 billion in assets under management, including US$75 billion in its Pure Alpha strategies (a hedge fund/GTAA/Portable alpha strategy) and US$65 billion in All Weather, a diversified beta strategy/risk parity portfolio. Bridgewater began investment operations in 1975, and is a pioneer in risk budgeting and the separation of alpha and beta, managing Portable Alpha/GTAA, Hedge Fund, Optimal Beta/Risk Parity, Currency Overlay, Global Fixed Income and Inflation-Indexed Bond mandates. Bridgewater manages these portfolios for a wide array of institutional clients globally, including public and corporate pension funds, foreign governments and central banks, university endowments and charitable foundations.
Northern Trust Corporation (Nasdaq: NTRS) is a leading provider of investment management, asset and fund administration, banking solutions and fiduciary services for corporations, institutions and affluent individuals worldwide. Northern Trust, a financial holding company based in Chicago, has offices in 18 U.S. states and 16 international locations in North America, Europe, the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region. As of September 30, 2012, Northern Trust had assets under custody of US$4.8 trillion, and assets under investment management of US$749.7 billion. For more than 120 years, Northern Trust has earned distinction as an industry leader in combining exceptional service and expertise with innovative products and technology.
Morningstar announced the agenda for the Morningstar Ibbotson Conference taking place Feb. 21-22 at the Westin Diplomat Resort & Spa in Hollywood, Fla. The conference, Morningstar’s premier event for institutional clients, will feature thought leaders from academic institutions, the financial services industry, and Morningstar. They will discuss the changing investment landscape and some of the latest advancements in investing and financial planning with a focus on delivering better financial outcomes.
Marvin Zonis, professor emeritus, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, will discuss the rules for successful global investing. Businesses that seek success through globalization need to make better “country bets,” and Zonis will describe the 15 principles for estimating a country’s political stability and economic growth.
Other general session speakers include:
Roger Ibbotson, Ph.D., founder of Ibbotson Associates, professor of finance at Yale School of Management, and partner at Zebra Capital Management, who will examine which stock characteristics—size, style, volatility, liquidity, etc.—have the greatest effect on returns over the long run;
Kevin Kliesen, business economist and research officer for the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, who will provide his economic outlook for 2013, and;
Rodney Sullivan, head of publications for the CFA Institute, who will discuss active quantitative portfolio management in today’s turbulent markets.
Additional academic and industry experts as well as thought leaders from Morningstar will present a series of breakout sessions, a number of which will feature new research. Topics include:
Dynamic asset allocation—Evaluating the effectiveness of various strategies, such as macro, momentum, liquidity, and correlation;
Gamma—Quantifying the amount of extra income investors can achieve by making better financial planning decisions;
Myth of the dumb fund investor—Do individual investors pay a premium for active funds when they’d be better off buying passive investments?;
Valuation-driven active asset allocation—Where to allocate assets when valuations are not attractive;
Evaluating target-date funds—How to judge risk and quantify return;
Best practices for combining active and passive exposures; and
Liability-relative investing for the individual investor.
“These are pivotal times. The United States is struggling to bridge the political divide to create a blueprint for economic recovery, while Europe has enacted austerity measures and bailouts and waits to see if they are enough to get the Eurozone back on track. The slow recovering housing market could breathe some much-needed life into the markets or it could sputter out and further shatter investor confidence,” Thomas Idzorek, president of Morningstar’s Investment Management division, said. “For two days, we’ll bring some of the leading minds in the financial service sector to help answer these questions and more, as well as share new ideas and techniques for investing in this uncertain market.”
BNY Mellon, the global leader in investment management and investment services, has named Judy L. Hu as chief marketing officer, effective Feb. 1, 2013. Widely recognized for her global expertise in brand-building and business-to-business marketing, she will report to R. Jeep Bryant, executive vice president for marketing and corporate affairs. Hu joins BNY Mellon from General Electric Company, where she has served as global executive director of advertising and branding since 2002.
While at GE, Hu was a key architect behind the repositioning of the company’s historic brand through campaigns including “Imagination at Work” and “ecomagination.” Hu drove innovation across all media in key markets around the world, winning dozens of awards for effectiveness and impact. In addition, Hu developed strategies to engage clients and communities through signature sponsorships globally.
“In recent years, BNY Mellon has significantly advanced its leadership position in investment management and investment servicing, creating a company with a powerful focus on helping investors succeed,” Bryant said. “Judy has a proven track record of building brands that reflect the strength of the business. With her expertise and leadership, we will continue to build our brand by demonstrating our commitment to delivering excellence and to being invested in the success of all of our stakeholders.”
Hu’s 30-year career spans the publishing, agency and corporate sectors. Her experience at advertising agency Leo Burnett took her to Hong Kong for several years, where she was responsible for a broad range of clients including United Airlines. During Hu’s six years in leadership positions at General Motors, she created a diversity marketing team to engage minority stakeholders in the GM brand and led advertising and sponsorship initiatives.
A native of Detroit, Hu has a master’s degree in business administration from Yale University and a bachelor’s degree in English and American Literature from Harvard University.
BNY Mellon is a global financial services company focused on helping clients manage and service their financial assets, operating in 36 countries and serving more than 100 markets. BNY Mellon is a leading provider of financial services for institutions, corporations and high-net-worth individuals, offering superior investment management and investment services through a worldwide client-focused team. It has $27.9 trillion in assets under custody and administration and $1.4 trillion in assets under management, services $11.6 trillion in outstanding debt and processes global payments averaging $1.4 trillion per day. BNY Mellon is the corporate brand of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE: BK).
The European Fund and Asset Management Association (EFAMA) has released the latest international statistical release containing worldwide investment fund industry results for the third quarter of 2012. The main highlights for Q3 2012 include:
Investment fund assets worldwide increased by 2.5 percent to EUR 21.95 trillion in the third quarter of 2012. In U.S. dollar terms, worldwide investment fund assets increased 5.3 percent during the quarter to US$ 28.38 trillion. This difference reflects the depreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro during the quarter.
Total worldwide net inflows into investment funds amounted to EUR 167 billion during the third quarter, up from EUR 99 billion in the previous quarter. This increase was achieved thanks to stronger net inflows into balanced and bond funds.
Long-term funds (all funds excluding money market funds) registered increased net inflows during the quarter of EUR 175 billion, up from EUR 141 billion in the second quarter.
Bond funds continued to enjoy strong net inflows (EUR 146 billion), up from EUR 121 billion in the second quarter.
Equity funds recorded the fifth consecutive quarter of net outflows (EUR 43 billion, up from EUR 14 billion in the previous quarter).
Balanced/mixed funds registered a large increase in net sales to EUR 38 billion, compared to EUR 2 billion in the previous quarter.
Money market funds registered net outflows of EUR 9 billion, down compared to the second quarter (EUR 42 billion). The United States registered net inflows of EUR 29 billion during the quarter, marking a turnaround compared to the second quarter when net outflows amounted to EUR 53 billion. On the other hand, Europe registered net outflows of EUR 31 billion, up from EUR 1 billion in the previous quarter.
At the end of the third quarter, assets of equity funds represented 37 percent and bond funds represented 24 percent of all investment fund assets worldwide. The asset share of money market funds was 16 percent and the asset share of balanced/mixed funds was 11 percent.
The market share of the ten largest countries/regions in the world market were the United States (49.3%), Europe (28.1%), Australia (5.7%), Brazil (5.5%), Japan (3.6%), Canada (3.5%), China (1.3%), Rep. of Korea (0.9%), South Africa (0.6%) and India (0.4%).
ING Investment Management has celebrated its third, consecutive BENCHMARK Fund of the Year Awards 2012 within the Asian Bond category. These awards are given to the funds that ranked highest across several performance criteria such as 1-, 3- and 5-year returns and 3-year Sortino Ratios. To qualify for the award, funds must have been ranked in the top 5 amongst peers in terms of total returns for the 12 months ending 31 October 2012.
ING IM EMD co heads Rob Drijkoningen and Gorky Urguieta stated:“We are very proud of this achievement and believe that this award proves our long term success in the Asian Bonds space and can be attributed to our dedicated investment approach and team spirit.”
ING Investment Management (ING IM) believes that investors will continue to recognize value in Asian fixed income helping the asset class perform relatively well in 2013.
Joep Huntjens, Portfolio Manager Asian Debt for ING IM in Singapore, says: “We believe that investors will continue to invest into the region to gain exposure to Asia’s strong fundamentals and relatively-attractive valuations. Asia continues to lead in terms of economic growth which is translating into increased wealth and domestic demand. As such, Asia’s reliance on exports is declining. Not only should sovereign fiscal situations remain healthy – particularly compared with Western countries – but this should provide a healthy operating environment for companies in the region. Asian currencies have upside potential from current levels, which provides an additional source of diversified returns for investors into Asian debt.”
The asset manager notes that the lower yields in developed markets, on the back of global growth deceleration, make Asian bond yields more attractive. Headline inflation is muted in most Asian economies, though may inch higher as growth accelerates. In any event, it will not be a major concern for bond investors. ING IM predicts that Asian growth is likely to have troughed and should pick up modestly from current levels. Likewise, it also anticipates that corporate earnings will improve from 2012, making it a good environment for bond investing despite low levels of yields.
Joep Huntjens concludes: “We expect structural inflows into the asset class to continue, which will support yields at current levels. While yields have declined over the course of 2012, we still see value opportunities in select corporate and sovereign issues and issuers. As such, we think 2013 will be a good year for bonds in general and a better year for investment managers that excel at security selection. Investments do not come without risks of course. The primary risks we see stem from events beyond our region, such as the US fiscal situation. Events such as these can put pressure on credit, but such downward moves in prices tend to
Nineteen funds have seen huge improvements in their FE Crown Fund Rating scores since they were last rebalanced in July 2012. In the latest set of results 12 funds climbed the rankings from one to four FE Crowns, while 14 funds rose from two to five FE Crowns.
The biggest leap from one to five FE Crowns was achieved by five funds:
JP Morgan Multi Manager Growth
EFA Clarion Explorer Portfolio Return
Sentinel Enterprise Portfolio
Henderson UK Property
CF Ruffer Pacific
CF Ruffer Pacific saw the most dramatic improvement, delivering the highest alpha of all funds in the Specialist sector. Henderson UK Property generated much improved outperformance with significantly lower volatility.
Funds were judged according to their three year track records to 31 December 2012 and ranked according to alpha generation, volatility and the consistency with which they have beaten their benchmarks. The top 10% of funds were awarded five FE Crowns and the > following 15% received four FE Crowns.
Seven funds achieved the top rank of five FE Crowns in their first rating (funds must have a three year track record to be rated):
Henderson European Special Situations
CIS Sustainable Diversified
Newton Managed Income
CIS Sustainable World Trust
Santander Investment Income Portfolio
Evenlode Income
Santander Sterling Government Bond
The three mixed investment strategies – CIS Sustainable Diversified, Newton Managed Income and CIS Sustainable World Trust – as well as Santander Sterling Government Bond scored particularly highly for their ability to deliver alpha and beat their benchmarks.
Evenlode Income kept volatility low compared to peers in the UK Equity Income sector, while Santander Sterling Government Bond was one of the most consistent performers within the UK Gilt sector.
Tim Wilson who runs Newton Managed Income, Mike Fox at the helm of CIS Sustainable World Trust and Richard Pease, manager of the Henderson European Special Situations Fund, are FE Alpha Managers – recognized as being within the top 10% of the UK’s fund managers.
Rob Gleeson, Head of FE Research, said: “The current rebalancing saw, as expected, an above average movement in the FE Crown Fund Ratings scores, with several funds seeing big improvements or significant downgrades. The undulation of recent years, with a post credit crunch rally followed by another correction in 2011 and the strong performance last year, has made it a difficult environment for funds; with both aggressive and defensive strategies doing well at various times over the last three years. The movement in the ratings this time round show the re-emergence of growth strategies as the dominant source of returns.”
BlueMountain Capital Management (BlueMountain), a private investment firm with over$12 billion in assets under management, is pleased to announce that James E. (“Jes”) Staley will join the firm as its ninth Managing Partner. Mr. Staley joins the firm from J.P. Morgan, where he recently served as CEO of the investment banking division. Along with becoming an integral part of the executive team, Mr. Staley will focus on cultivating relationships and developing new strategies that harness BlueMountain’s strengths, capture opportunities in the market, and deliver them to clients.
“Jes is one of the most experienced and successful leaders in the industry and has played a key role at one of the world’s most successful financial institutions. Not only has he had a front row seat for the evolution of the financial industry, but he’s also one of the most ethical people we’ve worked with,” said Andrew Feldstein , CEO and Chief Investment Officer of BlueMountain. “He shares our enthusiasm for the scale of the opportunities that exist in the market and the unique value proposition that BlueMountain delivers to its clients.”
Mr. Staley will join BlueMountain after more than 34 years at J.P. Morgan, where he served in various executive positions within the bank including heading both the Investment Bank and J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Prior to running the bank’s asset management division, Mr. Staley served as the head of J.P. Morgan’s private bank and was one of the founders of J.P. Morgan’s equities business.
Mr. Staley will join BlueMountain’s Management Committee, its Risk Committee and its Investment Committee and will purchase a stake in the firm. Proceeds from the sale will be invested in new infrastructure, technology and talent.
“I’m very excited to be joining BlueMountain at a time when sea changes in the financial industry combined with the firm’s unique strengths open up enormous possibilities to deliver value to clients,” said Mr. Staley. “I want to thank all my colleagues at J.P. Morgan, my home for the last 34 years, and I look forward to working with them in the future.”
Foto: BIS photo gallery. Basilea III aprueba un calendario gradual para implantar el ratio de liquidez
The LCR will be introduced as planned on 1 January 2015, but the minimum requirement will begin at 60%, rising in equal annual steps of 10 percentage points to reach 100% on 1 January 2019. This graduated approach is designed to ensure that the LCR can be introduced without disruption to the orderly strengthening of banking systems or the ongoing financing of economic activity.
The Basel Committee has issued the full text of the revised Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) following endorsement on 6 January 2013 by its governing body – the Group of Central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision (GHOS).
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Minimum LCR requirement
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
The GHOS agreed that, during periods of stress it would be entirely appropriate for banks to use their stock of HQLA, thereby falling below the minimum. Moreover, it is the responsibility of bank supervisors to give guidance on usability according to circumstances.
The GHOS also agreed that, since deposits with central banks are the most – indeed, in some cases, the only – reliable form of liquidity, the interaction between the LCR and the provision of central bank facilities is critically important. The Committee will therefore continue to work on this issue over the course of 2013.
Mervyn King, Chairman of the GHOS and Governor of the Bank of England, said, “The Liquidity Coverage Ratio is a key component of the Basel III framework. The agreement reached today is a very significant achievement. For the first time in regulatory history, we have a truly global minimum standard for bank liquidity. Importantly, introducing a phased timetable for the introduction of the LCR, and reaffirming that a bank’s stock of liquid assets are usable in times of stress, will ensure that the new liquidity standard will in no way hinder the ability of the global banking system to finance a recovery.”
The LCR is an essential component of the Basel III reforms, which are global regulatory standards on bank capital adequacy and liquidity endorsed by the G20 Leaders.
The LCR is one of the Basel Committee’s key reforms to strengthen global capital and liquidity regulations with the goal of promoting a more resilient banking sector. The LCR promotes the short-term resilience of a bank’s liquidity risk profile. It does this by ensuring that a bank has an adequate stock of unencumbered high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) that can be converted into cash easily and immediately in private markets to meet its liquidity needs for a 30 calendar day liquidity stress scenario. It will improve the banking sector’s ability to absorb shocks arising from financial and economic stress, whatever the source, thus reducing the risk of spillover from the financial sector to the real economy.
The LCR was first published in December 2010. At that time, the Basel Committee put in place a rigorous process to review the standard and its implications for financial markets, credit extension and economic growth. It committed to address unintended consequences as necessary.
The revisions to the LCR incorporate amendments to the definition of high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) and net cash outflows. In addition, the Basel Committee has agreed a revised timetable for phase-in of the standard and additional text to give effect to the Committee’s intention for the stock of liquid assets to be used in times of stress. The changes to the definition of the LCR, developed and agreed by the Basel Committee over the past two years, include an expansion in the range of assets eligible as HQLA and some refinements to the assumed inflow and outflow rates to better reflect actual experience in times of stress.
Once the LCR has been fully implemented, its 100% threshold will be a minimum requirement in normal times. During a period of stress, banks would be expected to use their pool of liquid assets, thereby temporarily falling below the minimum requirement. The GHOS agreed that the LCR should be subject to phase-in arrangements which align with those that apply to the Basel III capital adequacy requirements.