Korea Raises Voice for Shareholders

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Korea Raises Voice for Shareholders
CC-BY-SA-2.0, FlickrFoto: Toy Dog Design. Corea levanta la voz por sus accionistas

Corporate governance practices in South Korea’s family-controlled conglomerates, known as chaebol, find their roots in a social contract that was implicit in the process of the country’s economic development under military dictatorship, which began in the early 1960s. Korea’s previously autocratic government initiated economic plans and wielded power in the private sector by assigning different areas of development to each of several chosen corporate families. These corporations were expected to create jobs and earn U.S. dollars through exports. In turn, they received the privilege of government subsidies and considerable freedoms. Finally, under such a social contract, ordinary citizens were forced to give up certain democratic values and endure harsh working conditions to pull themselves out of poverty. Under this system, little if any consideration was given to shareholder value, and a culture of good corporate governance was an afterthought.

But South Korea has become a successful model of economic development and its governance is also changing accordingly. The implementation of democracy and an expectation of shareholder capitalism are part of the country’s new social contract. As it happens, South Korean authorities have recently imposed more severe punishment on business executives found guilty of corruption. In the past, courts were fairly lenient with chaebol tycoons, often pardoning them with comments such as “in consideration of past contributions to the national economy.” In terms of public sentiment in recent years, the reputation of Korea’s chaebol has also changed from that of “an export powerhouse” that can benefit the overall economy to that of an independent interest group whose expansion into domestic businesses might threaten the prosperity of the average citizen. Reflecting this new attitude, recent government measures have imposed limits on the expansion of such chaebol-owned businesses as franchise discount stores, bakeries and restaurants.

From the perspective of ownership in the local market, we can also observe a change. The assets under management of the country’s 14-year-old National Pension Fund have grown at a brisk pace. It now commands a considerable 6% of total ownership in the country’s stock market, up from about 3.6% in 2009. Given the continuously growing stake of the National Pension Fund in numerous Korean companies, it is not surprising that there will be incremental demand for better corporate governance and shareholder value, which may be mirrored in dividend payouts. The dividend yield of the Korean Composite Stock Price (KOSPI) Index is a mere 1.14%, while that of the MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index is 2.47%. Lower dividend payouts may reflect lower efficiency of invested shareholder capital, and may indicate that a company is sitting on excess cash. This scenario has been key to the so-called “Korea Discount” among global equity markets.

Interestingly, demand for better corporate governance in Korea has been initiated by liberal-minded social activists rather than capitalists. The group of political activists, who have also contributed to the nation’s political democracy, have been more vocal than activist investors about corporate governance issues. The fact that Korea’s somewhat conservative legal system has begun to react in favor of shareholder returns and economic democracy is an encouraging indicator of the formation of a new social contract for Korean society, and one I am optimistic about. 

The views and information discussed represent opinion and an assessment of market conditions at a specific point in time that are subject to change.  It should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy and sell particular securities or markets in general. The subject matter contained herein has been derived from several sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the time of compilation. Matthews International Capital Management, LLC does not accept any liability for losses either direct or consequential caused by the use of this information. Investing in international and emerging markets may involve additional risks, such as social and political instability, market illiquid­ity, exchange-rate fluctuations, a high level of volatility and limited regulation. In addition, single-country funds may be subject to a higher degree of market risk than diversified funds because of concentration in a specific geographic location. Investing in small- and mid-size companies is more risky than investing in large companies, as they may be more volatile and less liquid than large companies. This document has not been reviewed or approved by any regulatory body.
 

Investcorp Acquires Real Estate Assets Valued at $250 Million

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Investcorp, a manager of alternative investment products, announced that its US-based real estate arm has acquired a group of high quality office and retail assets in the greater Chicago, Los Angeles, Minneapolis and New York areas valued at $250 million.

“This acquisition adheres to Investcorp’s approach of targeting high quality assets, located in major metropolitan areas characterized by economic growth. In addition, our approach is to invest in assets that we believe will provide attractive yields soon after they are acquired,” said Herb Myers, managing director in Investcorp’s real estate group. “We believe that these properties also present an opportunity to improve their operating and leasing performance over a longer time horizon.”

The following properties comprise a total of more than 1.6 million square feet and have a combined occupancy rate of approximately 92 percent.

1603 & 1629 Orrington, Evanston, Illinois: Located in Chicago‘s northern suburbs, this two building office complex encompasses 339,000 square feet and benefits from its close proximity to Northwestern University. The city of Evanston has a thriving business district, is well-served by public transportation and is in close proximity to the City of Chicago.

Mountaingate Plaza, Simi Valley, California: Situated on 25 acres in the greater Los Angeles area, the second largest metropolitan area in the U.S., Mountaingate Plaza is a multi-tenant grocery and drugstore anchored retail centre with a connecting medical office facility located in Simi Valley, CA. The 246,326 square foot property has access to a number of highways connecting to San Fernando Valley and local residential neighbourhoods.  

Oracle & International Centre, Minneapolis, Minnesota: With a total of 622,000 square feet, this acquisition is comprised of two Class A/B+ office towers in the heart of Minneapolis’s central business district. The office complex is leased by a group of 43 longstanding tenants, including Oracle America.

Long Island Office Portfolio (Garden City, Mineola and Rockville Centre) New York: Located on Long Island, with access to mass transportation and major roadways connecting to New York City, these three office properties have displayed historically high occupancy rates. The multi-tenanted portfolio is leased to 132 tenants and totals 374,000 square feet. Tenants include many local law firms as well as businesses in the healthcare and technology industries.

Since 1995, Investcorp has acquired more than 200 properties with a total value of approximately $10 billion. The firm currently has more than $4 billion of property and debt funds under management

When Recognizing Your Faults is the Right Way to Go

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Cuando hacer las cosas mal, y reconocerlo, es el mejor camino para hacer las cosas bien
Photo and video from Youtube. When Recognizing Your Faults is the Right Way to Go

Action: The textile industry uses huge quantities of clean, drinking-quality water to dye and finish fabrics. Dyeing and finishing are wet processes, which means they use water to transfer dyes and other chemicals evenly onto fabric. To achieve consistent, even application, the water must be pure and clean. When the process is complete, the water contains residual chemicals and colorants that do not stay on the fabric. Unfit for reuse, this wastewater is discharged after some level of treatment, into waterways and public water systems.

As a result, there is a great deal of dirty water behind all the exciting new fashions and colors, and a growing number of consumers are becoming aware of it.

Reaction: Although it is almost impossible for shoppers today to know whether or not the clothes they buy come from polluting factories, their awareness of the issue is prompting outdoor clothing companies, fashion brands, retailers, fabric manufacturers, textile dyehouses and chemical suppliers to work together towards change. Patagonia is a perfect example of a great brand that has decided to be totally transparent. Its founder, Yvon Chouinard, states “you shouldn’t be worried of telling everybody about the bad things you are doing, as long as long as you say, that we’re working on these things”.  A couple of years ago, Patagonia created “The Footprint Chronicles”, where they stated in their website the story of the products they were selling. They told the consumer how their products were made and, when you looked at it from an environmental point of view, it was not good news. As a matter of fact, the outlook, for one of the most environmental friendly textile brands in the world, was plain bad. Nevertheless, since The Footprint Chronicles saw the light Patagonia has posted record profits. The consumers praise transparency and the fact that Patagonia decided to be honest and to work to solve these environmental issues.

Solution: Patagonia doesn’t make their own fabrics or sew their own products. They design styles, choose or develop materials and contract with factories to produce the things they sell. Realizing this complexity, Patagonia began working with bluesign technologies in 2000. Today, bluesign technologies is their most important partner in minimizing water use and the environmental harm done in Patagonia’s name from textile manufacturing.

Patagonia states that they are “well on our way toward meeting a goal we set in 2011 to be using only bluesign-approved materials by 2015”.

Opportunities and Challenges for PE/VC Investments in Colombia

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Now in its sixth year, the LAVCA Colombia Forum is the country’s premier event for Colombian and international investors to evaluate the opportunities and challenges for PE/VC investments in the region. Sessions will focus on GP/LP relations, as well as issues impacting local investor groups and pension funds. The 2013 program includes the participation of the region’s top CEOs and covers the progress of Colombian private equity, what to expect with major deals closing in the Oil & Gas and Energy sectors, as well as details on local regulation and reporting requirements.

The 2013 LAVCA Colombia Forum will take plece on November 13 in Bogota, Colombia, hosting 175 high-level executives for a full day of discussion and debate. Participants include global investment firms, Colombian private equity managers, global funds of funds, investment officers from local pension funds and insurance companies, family offices, corporate heads, local regulatory officials, representatives from development finance institutions, and other relevant industry players.

 

Fernando Soriano to Join Evercore to Lead Cross-Border Advisory Services in Latin America

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Evercore announced that Fernando Soriano will join its Investment Banking business as a Senior Managing Director to lead the firm’s cross-border advisory services in Latin America. Mr. Soriano, who is based in New York, will work closely with Evercore’s industry, product and geographic teams, and with the more than fifty bankers currently working in Mexico and Brazil.

Mr. Soriano was most recently a Managing Director and head of Corporate Finance Mexico at BNP Paribas and head of Latin America and Spain Investment Banking at Hill Street Capital LLC. With over 18 years of investment banking experience at firms including Salomon Smith Barney and Lehman Brothers, Mr. Soriano has extensive experience advising a broad array of companies and funds in M&A, debt restructuring and capital raising in Latin American transactions.

Pedro Aspe, Evercore’s Co-Chairman and Head of Mexico, said, “We are extremely pleased that Fernando is joining Evercore. We have great momentum in our Latin American business and Fernando will play an important role in helping us to extend that momentum, particularly in our cross-border activity.” Corrado Varoli, Chief Executive Officer of G5 Evercore in Brazil, said, “We are delighted to have Fernando join Evercore. We continue to see Latin America as a region of great interest to our global clients and we look forward to adding to our already significant advisory capabilities.”

Ralph Schlosstein, Evercore’s President and Chief Executive Officer, said, “Cross-border activity, both among Latin American countries and between them and the rest of the world, represents a strategic growth opportunity for Evercore. Fernando will augment our high quality coverage across all key sectors of this fast-growing region.”

“I look forward to joining Evercore’s highly regarded team of professionals and to being part of Evercore’s global growth, particularly in the Latin American region,” said Mr. Soriano.

Mr. Soriano received his B.Sc. in Industrial Engineering from Universidad Panamericana in Mexico City and his MBA degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Sloan School of Management.

Nearly 50% of Asset Managers Expect to Hire Personnel to Support Alternative Investments

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New research from Cerulli Associates  finds that 47% of asset managers expect to hire dedicated marketing personnel and 41% expect to hire dedicated sales personnel in the next 12 months to support alternative investments. 

“We’ve seen an increase in asset managers capitalizing on investor interest in alternatives by broadening their product lines,” explains Pamela DeBolt, senior analyst at Cerulli. “To be successful, managers must deepen their staff of dedicated professionals to support these efforts.” 

The November 2013 issue of The Cerulli Edge-U.S. Asset Management Edition examines product management teams, alternative investment staffing needs, and asset managers’ use of resources to target third party intermediaries. 

Alternative products can be complex and hard to understand for both advisors and end clients,” DeBolt continues. “Firms will be most successful when marketing and sales efforts include a significant educational component.” 

According to Cerulli, firms have hired more dedicated sales professionals than any other alternatives-related position in the past year. The number of sales personnel dedicated to alternative products increased 54% from 2012 to 2013 among managers that distributed alternatives to both retail and institutional clients. 

“Looking ahead, we are seeing the hiring shift slightly from sales toward increasing marketing staff,” DeBolt states. “Larger firms tend to create more collateral and educational tools, and appropriate levels of staff are required to maintain and update these tools.” 

As alternative investments are becoming an increased focus and a larger business line for some firms, Cerulli recommends continued evaluation of support levels to ensure that the appropriate resources are committed to alternative product lines on an ongoing basis.

Goldman Sachs Announces Sale of Majority Stake in Rothesay Life

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Goldman Sachs announced the sale of a majority stake in its UK pensions insurance business Rothesay Life. Funds managed by Blackstone and GIC each acquire 28.5% of the shares, with MassMutual acquiring a 7% holding. Goldman Sachs retains a 36% stake. The transaction is subject to regulatory approval.

Michael Sherwood, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs, said: “Rothesay Life’s success has now brought it to a size at which it is more capital-efficient for Goldman Sachs to share its ownership with other investors. As a market leader in a dynamic industry, Rothesay Life can continue its growth as a standalone business with the benefit of diversified ownership. We are pleased to remain the largest shareholder alongside three world class investors.”

Building the New China

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Construyendo la nueva China
By Dcubillas. Building the New China

The opening of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone marks one of the milestones of what will become “the new China” – with new opportunities for investors.

The zone is a testing ground for reform as the country seeks to move from the heavily state controlled and export-led “old China” to a modern economy, says Victoria Mio, Robeco’s portfolio manager for Chinese equities.

China aims to move towards a more consumer-led economy, with greater emphasis on developing the nascent service industry, and less state control over private enterprise.

“China has been undergoing a period of transition ever since the financial crisis and the recessions that hit the west, as it can no longer rely on exports for growth. The new China is related to the growth that these structural reforms will bring about,” says Mio.

“The new China is related to the growth that these structural reforms will bring about”

A busy few months for legislators
Politically, the wheels are already in motion. Since the new Chinese government took office in March, it has been actively formulating further reform that will begin in earnest in 2014. The 3rd Plenary Session of the ruling Communist Party is due to meet in November to authorize extensive financial and economic restructuring.

Opening the Shanghai zone in September is a precursor to China’s application to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a powerful trade zone that includes Japan, the US, and 10 other Pacific Rim nations representing about 40% of global trade. Membership requires complete freedom of capital, which has thus far been controlled by the Chinese government.

“China is trying to reduce the role of government in the economy. The Shanghai zone will enable companies engaged in key growth areas to do conduct their business without government approval,” says Mio, who is based in Hong Kong.

The reforms are described as China’s ‘Big Bang’ whose impact will be similar to the way western financial markets were reformed in the 1980s. They also aim to help the country’s achieve its ambition of establishing the renminbi as a global reserve currency in future years.

“China is trying to reduce the role of government in the economy”

Investment opportunities are plentiful
It means many opportunities for investors, says Mio. Her fund has outperformed the benchmark ever since it was set up in 2004, thanks to its blend of fundamental and quantitative stock-picking techniques combined with a thematic macroeconomic overlay analysis*.  

Investors had been spooked this year by fears of a hard landing for Chinese growth following a weaker-than-expected first half, but GDP has accelerated in the second half, and the annual target of 7.5% is now seen as being easily met.

“We think that improving the quality of growth, to be driven by consumption, domestic demand and services-orientated business, and less driven by exports and government, is how the new China will move forward,” she says.

Services-based refocusing
China – long the factory of the world, with a heavy emphasis on manufacturing – wants to move to a more services- based economy. In the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, the government has established a ‘negative list’ of ‘old China’ industries that saw heavy state control, and a ‘positive list’ of ‘new China’ businesses that will be promoted.

Negative industries include state monopolies in mining and transport; ‘ideological industries’ such as media; and strategic manufacturing such as railways. The positive industries include financial and professional services, technology, healthcare, education and culture. Those companies on the positive list will not need to obtain government approval for their activities.

Reforms that will be tested within the Shanghai Free Trade Zone include a relaxation of controls on foreign banks and fewer restrictions on foreign shipping at the world’s largest port. The government aims to reduce the barriers to entry for progressive, positive list companies.

The new themes will also focus on cutting China’s notorious pollution levels, offering opportunities for investors in companies engaged in the key growth areas of alternative energy and environmental protection. In technological development, mobile phone penetration is about 90% and internet use even lower at 45%, compared to more than 100% in the west (including smartphones and tablets).

The Chinese economy in numbers

Stock picking strategy
Mio’s fund looks to pick the strongest players in each sector. The fund invests in Chinese stocks quoted in Hong Kong and Shanghai, currently representing the old and new Chinas. “It’s a good time to invest – valuations are low right now,” she says.

“Chinese stocks are trading on 9.2 times forward earnings when the long-term average is 12.2 times. It’s been lower than average because of lower GDP growth, but the slowdown has bottomed out.” 

“Now China is in a period of cyclical recovery, and that’s very good for the stock market. This has been confirmed by the number of Chinese companies giving more positive guidance for the second half.”  

The consensus for earnings growth for MSCI China companies is 10.1% for 2013 and 9.6% for 2014.  In the first half, the earnings of index members rose 12% before slowing in the third quarter and recovering in the fourth.

Some risks remain
So what are the risks? China remains heavily indebted, with total borrowing equivalent to 209% of GDP, although most of this debt is held by domestic households and corporates rather than foreigners. Debt levels are still much lower than western competitors such as Japan (392%), the UK (292%) and the US (253%).

Property bubble risks have emerged, though this has tended to be concentrated in the four ‘Tier-1’ cities of Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzen and Guangzhou where housing demand has considerably outstripped supply. Mio says other Chinese cities from Tier 2 and below where the majority of people live have similar house value-to-mortgage levels as in the west.

And China will remain a net exporter, partly still reliant on the austerity-hit west, as the steady appreciation of the renminbi hampers the price competitiveness of Chinese exports. The currency has already appreciated by 19% against the US dollar over the past five years, but is still considered “moderately undervalued” by the IMF.

Pressure on ECB is Rising Again

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Although the Eurozone recovery remains on track, slowing inflation and euro appreciation is putting pressure on the ECB to loosen monetary policy further this week. However, ING Investment Management does not expect a rate cut (yet). Also the euro does not seem to be much overvalued. Meanwhile, markets are again more driven by liquidity.

The output gap in the Eurozone has steadily widened since 2008 which implies consistent downward pressure on domestically generated inflation. As the graph shows, inflation in the euro region is on a clear downward trend since the end of 2011.

Developments of EUR/USD and inflation since 2007

Pressure on ECB to loosen policy further
The slowing inflation highlights how sluggish the region’s recovery is. In October, inflation fell from 1.1% in September to a lower than expected 0.7%, the lowest rate since late 2009. Core inflation (ex food and energy) also fell and is now just 0.8%.

The ongoing decline in inflation, combined with the rise in the euro, is therefore set to increase the pressure on the ECB to loosen monetary policy further. The possibility of a further cut in the policy rate, or new liquidity measures in the form of an LTRO (long-term refinancing operation), is however not a forgone conclusion as the central bank’s governing council seems to be quite deeply divided. Slowing inflation and the appreciation of the euro are arguments in favour of a rate cut, while the improvement – while still fragile – in the real economy and the expectation that inflation will pick up next year (the ECB’s inflation forecast for 2014 is 1.3%) are the main reasons cited by those favouring no change in policy.

Despite the pressure to loosen policy further, the central bank may yet wait until its December meeting when the new quarterly ECB staff macroeconomic projections will provide more insight. This week President Draghi might state that the risks to inflation have shifted to the downside and that an interest rate cut is a possibility, in a bid to – at least temporarily – halt the euro’s rise and keep interest rate expectations low.

To view the complete story, click the document attached.

European High Yield Takes on Greater Prominence

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La deuda europea de alto rendimiento adquiere mayor protagonismo
Chris Bullock, co-manager of the Henderson Horizon Euro High Yield Bond Fund. European High Yield Takes on Greater Prominence

Once the preserve of the US, the high yield bond market has followed the trend towards a more globalised world and this is evident in the increasing share of European high yield bonds within the global high yield market.

The chart below shows the market value of the US, European and emerging market high yield bond markets. From a standing start in the mid to late 1990s, the high yield bond market in Europe has grown to represent more than 20% of the global market.

Source: Bloomberg, August 1986 to September 2013. Market Value in USD using BofA ML regional indices (H0A0, HP00, EMHB). 

Growth in the European high yield bond market has been particularly rapid since the eruption of the financial crisis. Starved of capital from the banks, which are shrinking their bloated balance sheets, companies are increasingly forced to look towards high yield bonds as a source of financing. The proceeds were deployed primarily to refinance and for general corporate purposes, rather than more aggressive activities such as merger and acquisitions, although there has been greater evidence of the latter this year as corporate executives regain confidence.

The fact that the European high yield market has grown so strongly since the financial crisis has had an interesting structural influence on the market. The last five years has been characterised by a more conservative atmosphere prevailing among ratings agencies. The general drop in sovereign and corporate ratings means that the European high yield market is very diverse in types of issuers and therefore more of a mainstream, liquid market. In addition, alongside companies that would ordinarily be classed as high yield are fallen angels (former investment grade companies), that are likely to recover their higher rating as their prospects improve. A good example would be Continental, the global tyre manufacturer, which recently regained its BBB rating.

The relatively young, but fast-growing European high yield market means there are lots of new names so it is a market that rewards intelligent research and good stock-picking. There remains considerable dispersion in spreads (yield premium over government bonds) across the different ratings in high yield, again creating opportunities for additional gains from astute stock selection.

We expect the European high yield market to follow the US experience, so the coming decades are likely to see significant growth ahead, not just in terms of the size and depth of the market, but also in terms of the experience and confidence of the participants on both the borrowing and lending sides. Market growth, therefore, becomes self-reinforcing as the European high yield bond market matures. 

Chris Bullock, co-manager of the Henderson Horizon Euro High Yield Bond Fund