“Reforms may create opportunities to capture economic profits being ceded by banks” say Christian Stracke, global head of the credit research and Tom Collier, product manager - alternative investment strategies at PIMCO, in their latest insight.
It’s been nearly a decade since the global financial crisis prompted an onslaught of regulations intended to abolish excessive risk-taking and make the financial system safer, they remember. "Yet the implementation of reforms – and their disruptive effect on financial business models – will peak only over the next few years." They state.
As Dodd-Frank and Basel regulations come into force and a further wave of regulatory reform is announced, they believe banks will exit more non-core businesses, specific funding gaps will become more acute and dislocations between public and private markets will become more frequent. "Each will create investment opportunities for less constrained and patient capital to capture economic profits being ceded by banks."
The experts highlight that banks are facing higher capital requirements, higher loss provisioning and higher compliance costs – pressures that they believe will prompt banks to exit more non-core businesses. "The result, we believe, will be more acute funding gaps and more frequent dislocations between public and private markets – all of which will create investment opportunities for less constrained and more patient capital."
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