Photo: Sonja. Cayman Islands is Confident of Being Granted AIFMD Passport
The Cayman Islands is confident that the pan-European marketing ‘passport’ will be extended to alternative investment funds (AIFs) set up in the jurisdiction, according to the Alternative Investment Management Association (AIMA), the global hedge fund industry association.
Cayman, where a high percentage of offshore hedge funds are registered, still awaits assessment by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). It was not included in the initial assessments which saw ESMA recommend the passport for Jersey, Guernsey and Switzerland under the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD).
But AIMA said that Cayman was well-placed to have a successful review in the near future.
Cayman has already entered into the requisite co-operation arrangements with the major EU investment securities regulators and the necessary tax information exchange agreements with EU governments as required by the AIFMD, AIMA said. In addition, the Cayman Islands Government has been developing an AIFMD compliant opt-in regime to ensure that the jurisdiction can continue to meet the needs of Cayman-based alternative investment fund managers who want to market funds into the EU under the passport.
AIMA said it was in the interests of institutional investors in Europe and hedge fund managers globally that Cayman be granted the passport.
Jack Inglis, CEO of AIMA, said: “The global industry as a whole needs Cayman AIFs to be approved under the AIFMD passport to ensure that pension funds and other European institutional investors can continue to benefit from investing in some of the world’s leading alternative investment funds. We are confident that Cayman will be granted the passport since the new Cayman regime looks similar to those in the jurisdictions that have already obtained favourable assessments.”
Alan Milgate, Chairman of AIMA Cayman, said: “ESMA’s decision should not be misinterpreted. Cayman has simply not yet been assessed, and has certainly not been adversely opined on, or excluded by ESMA. We look forward to the Cayman Islands being assessed positively in ESMA’s ongoing review of additional non-EU jurisdictions and that AIFMs based in the Cayman Islands will continue to benefit from evolving legislation which is both flexible and adaptable.”
Foto: Frank Lindecke
. ¿En qué 5 países habrá mayor transferencia de riqueza en los próximos 30 años?
Half of the world’s UHNW individuals with assets of at least US$30 million are expected to pass on their wealth in the next 30 years.This means that at least $16 trillion of wealth will be transferred to the next generation globally, marking the largest wealth transfer in history: In the next 10 years, a total of $4.1 trillion. In the next 20, the amount will reach 9.2 trillion. And in 30 years time, it will exceed the $16 trillion figure.
Where will it happen? According to the Wealth-X and NFP Family Wealth Transfers Report, The United States, with an expectation of over $6 trillion transfer hits the top position. Germany and Japan, with over $1.6 trillion each, United Kingdom, with $830 billion, and Brazil, with $560 billion, complete the top five.
“North America’s $6,350 billion of wealth expected to be handed down in the next 30 years represents 40% of the global total. In terms of global UHNW wealth, North America holds 35% of the total; this slightly higher amount being passed down to the next generation reflects the fact that North America’s UHNW population is older”, the report explains.
In Europe, things are different since it already has a higher proportion of inherited wealth -45% compared to only 25% in North America-, meaning that a large portion of wealth has already been transferred to the new generation.
The firms expect Asia´s UHNW population and wealth to become the largest in the world in the next 20 years. But the wealth creation is this region is so recent that there is not a big need to transfer yet. “Whilst we expect Asia to be at the center of wealth creation in the coming decades, it will still take a long time for the impact of this to affect wealth transfers to the next generation in the region”, the report says.
If we take a look at the countries with largest expected wealth transfers as proportion of UHNW wealth in the next 30 Years, we find that Malaysia, Taiwan, France, Japan and Brazil lead the ranking. The explanation offered by the Wealth-X and NFP Family Wealth Transfers Report for the presence of three Asian countries in the top five –with over or almost 70% of their wealth to be transferred- is that “in each of these countries some of the wealthiest billionaires are already in their 70s or 80s, and this has a disproportionate impact on the whole country.”
The latest Preqin research into infrastructure investment has found that the average deal size has risen 56% between 2013 and 2015 YTD. Transactions completed in 2013 had an average size of $401mn, compared to $626mn for deals done so far in 2015. The number of deals taking place each year has fallen notably in three years, from 1,056 in 2013 to just 325 so far in 2015. This comes alongside news that the majority of infrastructure investors now list valuations as their primary concern for the infrastructure market. Following a recent survey by Preqin, the proportion of investors concerned about current valuations of investments has risen from 13% in H1 2014 to 56% in H2 2015.
Average deal sizes in all geographic regions have hit record highs in 2015. In particular, deal size is up 42% in Europe and 13% in North America versus 2014. And, although average deal size has risen, aggregate deal value is not projected to meet 2014 levels by year-end. Estimated aggregate deal value reached $435bn in 2014, yet the aggregate deal value for 2015 YTD is only $204bn.
“Average infrastructure deal sizes have reached all-time highs so far in 2015, experiencing significant increases since 2013. However, this growth has not been completely linear across the industry. Transactions in the more developed infrastructure markets of North America and Europe have seen the largest increases in average deal value. Furthermore, the appetite for the favourable characteristics of brownfield sites among investors has driven prices for these assets up at a faster rate than infrastructure at both the greenfield and secondary stages. What worries investors is that capital committed now may not deliver the strong, stable returns to which they have become accustomed. Only time will tell whether large asset prices will have an effect on the overall performance of unlisted infrastructure funds currently investing capital”, comments Andrew Moylan, Head of Real Assets Products – Preqin.
Among other findings, according to Preqin, transport, telecoms and energy deals have all seen notable rises in average deal size over the past year, with the average transport deal size for 2015 YTD reaching $889mn, a 32% increase compared to 2014.
Since 2010, greenfield and secondary stage projects have seen average deal sizes rise by approximately 70%, while brownfield deals have increased by 148% in size. Since 2014, the average deal size for brownfield sites has increased by 35%.
Following valuations being named as the key issue for the infrastructure market by 56% of investors at present, 43% of respondents stated deal flow was a significant issue and 30% named performance.
Foto: Doug8888, Flickr, Creative Commons. Lombard Odier IM and ETF Securities Launch Emerging Market Local Government Bond ETF
Lombard Odier Investment Managers, a pioneer in smart beta fixed income investing, and ETF Securities, one of the world’s leading, independent providers of Exchange Traded Products (“ETPs”), have listed their emerging market local government bond ETF on the London Stock Exchange.
This fourth addition to the range of fundamental, fixed income ETFs, is designed to provide exposure to local government currency debt ofemerging marketsand developing countries, using fundamental factors that assess issuers’ creditworthiness to identify those that we believe are best-placed to repay their debt.
Today, emerging sovereign bondsoffer an appealing yield-to-maturity as interest rates in advanced economies are likely to remain low for longer. In addition, unlike market-cap benchmarks, which reward the most-indebted borrowers, our fundamental focused approach is designed to deliver quality-based diversification and includes exposure to India and China (the two largest emerging market countries).
Kevin Corrigan, Head of Fundamental Fixed Income, Lombard Odier IM commented:“We are extremely pleased to introduce our emerging market local government bond ETF to the European market. As interest rates in advanced economies remain depressed, relative valuation dynamics in emerging market debt are becoming interesting and our fundamentally weighted approach provides greater quality-focused diversification for investors. Lombard Odier IM has over five years of experience in fundamentally-weighted fixed income investing and our partnership with ETF Securities enables us to offer a wide range of investors an innovative approach to investing in emerging debt markets.”
Howie Li, Co-Head of CANVAS, ETF Securities added: “The suite of ETFs that we have brought to the market with Lombard Odier IM aim to capture the increasing shift towards more cost-effective investment solutions but, at the same time, provide an improved risk-adjusted return profile. Our first three products, launched in April, were well received and investors have already expressed their interest in the launch of this innovative emerging market ETF. With bond liquidity increasingly being a source of concern, investors in ETFs have extra liquidity support from the secondary market to help mitigate this. This liquidity support coupled with the ability to trade intraday makes the ETF vehicle an ideal access route into fixed income at a time when liquidity matters.”
CC-BY-SA-2.0, FlickrFoto: Dana Riza. Asia vuelve a repuntar: ¿Qué está pasando?
The decision by the PBoC to introduce the new FX regime serves two purposes, explains Global Evolution in its last analysis. First, the move should be seen as a step forward to comply with SDR eligibility. The IMF recently declined the Chinese calls for letting the CNY become a SDR currency as the fund criticized the gap between the CNY’s market level and daily fixings. In fact, the IMF and the US Ministry of Finance have both welcomed the Chinese policy shift.
Secondly, economic growth is in retreat and the export sector is in dire straits judged by recent export data. A weaker CNY could help stem the growth decline although most would agree that the 2.7% adjustment in USD/CNY since Monday August 10 will not make much of a difference, points out the firm.
Still, if the market believes that the CNY should weaken leading to capital outflows the CNY adjustment may have more legs in the weeks and months to come. The PBoC will lean against disruptive currency volatility but welcome a weaker currency as long as capital outflows are manageable and the CNY depreciation takes place in a controlled and orderly fashion. Inflation is a no worry for now. July’s headline CPI inflation may have increased to 1.6% YoY from 1.4% YoY in June but PPI inflation declined to minus 5.4% from minus 4.8% thereby hitting the lowest level since autumn 2009. To put things short, says Global Evolution, what we now have in China is a managed float and who can blame the Chinese authorities for letting markets determine the value of their currency.
Sin embargo, si el mercado cree que el yuan se debilitará esto provocará la salida de capitales y el ajuste de la divisa china podría continuar en los próximos meses. El Banco Popular de China luchará contra la volatilidad de la moneda, pero estará a favor de una divisa más débil, siempre y cuando las salidas de capital sean manejables y la devaluación del renminbi se lleva a cabo de una manera controlada y ordenada.
La inflación no es una preocupaciónpor ahora, afirma Global Evolution. La inflación subyacente del mes de julio podría haber aumentado hasta el 1,6% interanual desde el 1,4% interanual en junio, pero la inflación de los precios de producción industrial disminuyó hasta -5,4% desde -4,8%, marcando el nivel más bajo desde el otoño de 2009. Para resumir, lo que tenemos ahora en China es una fluctuación controlada y quién puede culpar a las autoridades chinas por dejar que los mercados determinen el valor de su moneda.
“The genie is out of the bottle and the Asian devaluation race is on as illustrated by the Vietnamese central bank’s decision to devaluate the Vietnamese dong by 2%. Elsewhere in Asia, depressed commodity prices will allow for easy monetary policies with central bankers happy to see their respective currencies staying weak and competitive”, explain the firm specialized in emerging and frontier markets debt.
In emerging Asia, Singapore, South Korea and Malaysia are the countries that are most exposed to the Chinese business cycle whereas in Latin America Chile stands out with an export to China worth around 7% of GDP.
In Asian frontier universe Mongolia stands out with an export exposure to China worth more than 30% of GDP whereas in Africa, Angola and Republic of Congo are the countries most exposed.
What are the consequences?
Asian local fixed income should perform well as headline CPI inflation stay subdued. The tricky part is FX, growth, the banking sector and budget performance. “We believe that local Asian currencies have limited upside potential over the next few months and have cut Asia significantly in our local currency strategies. India and Indonesia are the two countries where we still hold some exposure with our strongest conviction trade being India and with Indonesia offering a notable carry in compensation for currency risks”, point out.
“As to Asian hard currency debt, sovereign debt stocks are low and we do not see roll over risks as a problem (with FX reserves being amble). Spreads may face upside pressure should the overall economic outlook deteriorate but that is only a mark-to-market risk. Distressed market pricing or defaults are highly unlikely. Asia constitutes 23% in the typical hard currency benchmark (JPMorgan EMBI GD) and we typically hold only around 15% of AuM in Asian “pure” sovereign debt (no quasi-sovereigns) across funds within our hard currency strategy due to zero-weighting of China, Malaysia, India, Mongolia and Pakistan. Therefore we believe that our Asian exposure in hard currency debt is highly manageable”, concludes.
Global Evolution, an asset management firm specialized in emerging and frontier markets debt, is represented by Capital Stragtegies in the Americas Region.
The European funds industry faced estimated net outflows of €11.1 bn from long-term mutual funds for June. That said, mixed- asset funds enjoyed opposite flows with estimated net inflows of €12.1 bn during the month, followed by real estate products with €0.2 bn and commodity funds with €0.03 bn. However, bond funds faced estimated net outflows of €17.5 bn, bettered by equity funds (- €2.5 bn), alternative/hedge products (-€2.1 bn), and ”other” funds (-€1.3 bn). These flows added up to estimated net outflows of €11.1 bn from long-term investment funds for June.
“Despite these flows for June, the European investment industry enjoyed outstanding estimated net inflows of €296.5 bn into long-term investment funds for the first six months of 2015”, said Detlef Glow, Head of EMEA research.
Even money market products, an asset class that can be seen as a safe haven, faced massive outflows (-€34.7 bn) for June. Despite these outflows, money market funds still showed net inflows of €1.2 bn for the first half of 2015.
The flows for the money market segment brought the overall net flows for June to minus €45.8 bn and to a positive €297.8 bn for the first six months of the year.
The single fund market with the highest net inflows for June was Luxembourg (+€7.9 bn), followed by Switzerland (+€0.7 bn) and Denmark (+€0.2 bn). France (-€25.7 bn), Ireland (-€10.2 bn), and Italy (-€8.1 bn) stood on the other side.
Mixed-Asset EUR Flexible-Global (+€4.2 bn) was the best selling sector among the long- term funds, followed by Mixed-Asset EUR Conservative-Global (+€3.3 bn), Mixed-Asset EUR Balanced-Global (+€2.7 bn), and Equity Japan (+€1.9 bn) as well as Equity Eurozone (+€1.2 bn). At the other end of the spectrum Bond EUR suffered net outflows (-€5.0 bn), bettered somewhat by Absolute Return EUR (-€5.0 bn) and Bond EUR Corporates (-€3.5 bn) as well as Bond EMU Government (-€2.5 bn) and Equity Asia Pacific ex-Japan (-€2.3 bn).
Commerzbank has been authorized by the Brazilian Central Bank to set up a subsidiary in Sao Paulo. It is now expected that business operations for the target group of small and medium-sized enterprises as well as major and capital market companies will be launched in the first quarter of 2016, according to PR Newswire.
“Even though the growth momentum in Brazil has slowed recently, the country still remains the seventh largest economy in the world and is by far the most important economy in Latin America and thus a major economic partner for Germany and Europe. Even in times of volatile markets, it is important for our Mittelstandsbank, the market leader in Germany for SMEs, to have a local presence to support our customers outside Germany,” says Bernd Laber, Divisional Board Member International of the Corporate Banking segment (“Mittelstandsbank”).
Harald Lipkau will take on the position of General Manager of Commerzbank in Brazil. A native of Brazil, he started his career in his home country and, after progressing through various positions, was most recently responsible within Commerzbank for financial institutions in Asia.
Around 1,400 German companies are currently represented in Brazil, of which approximately 900 are located in the metropolitan area of Sao Paulo. The majority of these companies are already customers of Commerzbank in Germany. It is now planned to serve their local units through the new Commerzbank subsidiary in Sao Paulo. A total of around 50 staff will be available locally for these customers.
Commerzbank plans to offer its comprehensive range of corporate and investment banking services in Brazil. Commerzbank will serve European companies operating in Brazil, and also provide support for international companies aiming to do business in Europe.
CC-BY-SA-2.0, FlickrPhoto: Esparta Palma. Investec Wealth & Investment Strengthens Research Team with Four New Appointments
Investec Wealth & Investment is pleased to announce the appointment of four new members to its research team. Dominic Barnes joins as a fixed income portfolio manager, Esther Gilbert as a fixed income analyst, while Marcus Blyth and Adrian Todd both join as fund selection specialists.
The decision to further strengthen IW&I’s research team stems from its conviction that increased market volatility over the medium term will create more challenging conditions in which to generate meaningful risk-adjusted investment returns for its clients. IW&I’s research team has, therefore, broadened its coverage to include an expanded range of sophisticated collective and fixed income instruments. The additional complexity of these products requires greater breadth and depth of resource in order to ensure they are thoroughly analysed for their suitability.
John Haynes, Head of Research at Investec Wealth & Investment, said: “I am delighted to welcome Dominic, Esther, Marcus and Adrian to the research team. They bring significant expertise in the fixed income and collectives sectors and will enhance the capabilities and performance of an already well-resourced team. Best-in-class research is an integral part of the service we offer our clients and gives Investec Wealth & Investment a significant advantage in the UK wealth management industry.”
Prior to joining IW&I, Dominic was a Director at Credit Suisse Private Bank & Wealth Management and, before this role, a Fixed Income Specialist at Merrill Lynch International. Esther joins IW&I from AXA Investment Managers, where she was a Portfolio Manager and Fixed Income Investment Analyst covering a range of securities such as global bonds, High Yield, emerging market debt and convertibles.
Marcus Blyth joins from Kleinwort Benson, where he covered collective investment schemes across all sectors. Adrian Todd joins from private bank Coutts, where he analysed third-party funds across discretionary investment portfolios globally.
Foto: juantiagues
. Los hedge funds captaron 76.000 millones hasta junio
The global hedge fund industry has seen a $76bn net inflow of assets through the first half of 2015, bringing the size of the industry to $3.22tn. The second quarter saw the greater amount of inflows from investors, with $48bn in Q2 compared to $29bn in first quarter. Single-manager hedge funds specifically saw net inflows of $52bn in Q2, three times as much as the $18bn net inflow of assets they recorded in the first quarter. CTAs, on the other hand, had a net outflow of $5bn in the second quarter, eroding the $11bn growth they had seen in Q1.
49% of multi-strategy funds saw net inflows in Q2, the highest proportion of all major hedge fund strategies. Conversely, only 29% of niche strategy funds saw net inflows, with 65% of funds in these niche strategies witnessing outflows.
Funds based in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific all had similar asset flows in Q2, with 41-44% of funds seeing inflows, and 38-39% seeing outflows. In contrast, funds based outside these regions had net inflows in only 33% of cases, while 62% of funds had outflows.
43%of all hedge funds have seen an increase in allocation from North American investors, and 20% have seen increases from Asia-based investors. Conversely, 14% of funds with Europe-based investors saw decreases from that group, the highest of any region.
60% of hedge funds with more than $500mn in assets under management had net inflows in Q2, almost twice the proportion that saw net outflows. Only 38% of funds worth less than $100mn grew in the quarter, with net outflows experienced by 43% of funds in this group.
57% of hedge fund managers reported increased allocations from high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) and family offices respectively during H1 2015
Amy Bensted–Head of Hedge Fund Products at Preqin comments:“Despite recent Preqin research indicating that investors are growing impatient with the returns of hedge funds, the industry has continued to accumulate assets in the first half of the year. Hedge funds now manage over $3.2tn in assets, amassing net inflows of more than $76bn in the first six months of 2015. The largest funds continue to see the highest inflows, with approximately 60% of funds with more than $500mn in assets gaining net inflows in Q2 2015.
The growth of the hedge fund sector highlights the continued need for these products by institutional investors, despite any short-term concerns around performance and fees. In light of recent equity market turbulence, the ability of hedge funds to provide consistent and non-correlated returns may prove even more valuable to investors in the second half of the year and we could see continued inflows over the rest of 2015.”
Photo: Jorge Díaz Barros / Courtesy Photo. Credit Suisse Names Jorge Diaz Barros Country Manager for Chile
Credit Suisse announces that Jorge Diaz Barros joined the bank this month as the new Head of the Chile Advisory Office and Chile Country Manager, a role in which he will partner with representatives from across our fully integrated Investment Bank and Private Bank to ensure a coordinated approach to all of our activities in the country.
Jorge Diaz Barros, who brings nearly 20 years of experience in the financial industry to his new position, joined Credit Suisse from JP Morgan Private Bank, where he worked in Miami and Santiago de Chile as a Relationship Manager and a Business Developer for UHNW clients in Latin America.
Jorge holds an MBA in International Business from Gabriela Mistral University, Business School in Chile.
With the arrival of the new Country Manager, Credit Suisse confirms its commitment to Chile, reinforcing the bank‘s growth strategy with a priority focus on the global offerings of our integrated bank in the country and across Latin America.
